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Posts Tagged ‘Politics’

Prediction

Posted by closerview on October 1, 2009

FULL ARTICLE From the way the world is going, the region where a cataclysmic event may happen is in the Middle East. There are too many sides fighting for power and dominance of the region, and each is pushing the envelope further and further, currently testing the other sides’ patience and diplomatic ability.

The world today does not want to see war, necessarily. However, the veterans of World War II are dying out. They are the ones that have seen how devastating and brutal a world war can be, and how even the most civilized countries are ready to indiscriminately kill civilians and demolish whole cities in order to gain a simple ability to sell something that is located in a different land.

Commerce is the name of the game, and those that have the most resources have the best commercial ability. Commerce is power and leverage. It is control of whole economies. The United States has been very discreet about imperial aspirations. The basics of empire expansion are control of resources for a purpose of selling them. Not everyone has the power to expand in such a manner, and most take the old-school route — that is, guns blazing and bombs flying, with tanks sweeping in and destruction in the armies’ path.

The most important resource allocation in the world right now is located in the Middle East. Also, the biggest rivalries are in the Middle East. The interesting thing is that it was Europe and the United States that created the reason for there to be conflict in this area. They sparked old rivalries anew in the Middle East by creating Israel as a state. It was a gesture of good will from the Allies and the USSR. However, dislocating a large portion of people and telling them that their rivals are now the owners of the soil is bound to get one side pissed off.

And guess who that side is: the whole Arab world. Now, I am not against the State of Israel, but it is the reason for instability in the Middle East today. With European and mainly America’s backing and support, Israel was able to muster up one of the…FULL ARTICLE

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Obama’s changes may have to wait

Posted by closerview on January 23, 2009

FULL ARTICLE HERE

Barack Obama ran on a platform of change, and it has come swiftly after his inauguration. The U.S. population is so excited about Obama taking office that they are forgetting that he is a politician and that his way to the White House was not all that clean.

He has come from Illinois – the most corrupt state in America. In just four years he has risen to be the leader of the most powerful nation on Earth, a journey that has taken many before him far longer to achieve.

Nevertheless, Obama has been inaugurated to the office of the President of the United States, and now the American nation will look at everything he does, for he has promised a lot. Primarily – change. Most likely the bulk of Obama’s first 100 days will be focused on showing Americans that he is really going to present them with the things he promised. Nevertheless, most of it will probably be all talk, for sudden change is never good and he will create many enemies even among those that have supported him throughout his campaign.

Still bringing up McCain

Obama ran against John McCain. Both men obviously did not like each other. One look at any of the debates between the two and especially McCain’s rallies show that the two were complete opposites. Yet, on the eve of the inauguration Obama and McCain stood together at a dinner promoting bipartisanship. Obama openly praised McCain for his efforts and praised him for being a worthy adversary in the race to the White House.

It is nothing but talk, however. Obama does not need McCain in his political life. The 2008 election has created such a big divide between the McCain and Obama supporters that the new President simply needs to make the Republican Party supporters feel that he is working in their favor as well. By praising McCain’s efforts and by acknowledging that McCain was motivated by “a pure and deeply felt love for his country” he has established himself as a President that will bring about more bipartisanship, or at least attempt to do it. Obama knows that most of the nation is behind him, he simply needs to keep up with his image that he created during his campaign. People expect him to be a leader that does something great, and most people appreciate that he has acknowledged his former opponent. President Obama is simply giving people what they want at the moment, and that is to feel that he represents every single person living in the U.S.

Distancing Himself from Bush

George W. Bush may well be the most disliked President in the history of the United States. War in Iraq and Afghanistan, a huge budget deficit, huge private profits for him and his close friends, and deregulation that ended his presidency with a financial crisis of epic proportions.

Barack Obama spent a lot of time preparing to take office. Some even say that he may have been preparing his inauguration speech and his cabinet way before he actually won the election. Regardless of what may be said or what theories may circulate, the White House web-page was changed a few hours following Obama’s inaugural address to the American people. It takes longer than a few hours to create such a functional and well-designed web-page.

Clearly the website is intended to be a first-hand news agency covering the events and daily operations of the President. Obama’s campaign focused on bringing the simpler…FULL ARTICLE HERE

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American Bailouts – Keeping Europeans Away

Posted by closerview on January 20, 2009

READ FULL ARTICLE

News about U.S. bailout packages have been on every newsstand and news website in the past months. There is talk constantly of American companies being bailed out and discussions about the topic are abundant. The stir is caused not because America is considered a superpower and not because United States economy is the symbol of economics success that many nations are aspiring for. It makes news because America is becoming less and less American. With the U.S. economy being the weakest that it has been since the Great Depression, many Europeans and Asians are taking advantage of this and buying out American companies and their assets.

The bailout packages that are being considered and hundreds of billions of dollars that have already been committed are aimed at buying up failing U.S. companies for one reason – to keep the U.S. economy dependant on itself and its own workforce rather than European parent companies and…

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The New Politics of the XXI Century

Posted by closerview on August 19, 2008

The New “Iron Curtain”

The United States has been accusing Russia of fueling a new Cold War and wanting to set up a new “Iron Curtain”. It is, however, the United States that is setting up a new type of a “curtain”. Let’s call it the “blinds”. It is a good analogy, for whenever Washington does not want to their citizens to know something, they simply close them, and open them whenever it is safe for them to receive harmless information from their Eastern counter parts. The Iron Curtain during the Soviet Era was basically the border between the West and the East. Politicians today are children of the Cold War. No matter what happens in the political arena, Western political leaders will still see Moscow as a threat to the “free world” and Russians as drunk, bear-wrestling people with think accents. U.S.S.R. had satellite nations, which were basically a buffer zone in case of an attack from the West. Today, that buffer zone has been eliminated, and Washington could not be happier. American troops can actually be on the border of Russia in broad daylight. the Baltic States, Ukraine, Georgia, are all lead by former or current American citizens. There are hundreds of “political” and Pentagon-employed advisors in those countries “helping” make decisions. United States accusing Russia of making a new Iron Curtain is absurd, due to the fact that the United States has been slowly creeping up to Russian borders. The “blinds” are set between Russia and the United States, running through the borders of the Baltic States, Ukraine, and Georgia.

The E.U.

The European Union is a great idea, and has worked out well so far, for the most part. The Europeans have been doing nothing but mediating talks and conflicts, and most countries of the E.U. have avoided getting involved in conflicts in the Middle East and other places around the globe. The E.U. will always side with Washington, for Europe has never liked that Russia has so much control over the resource market. The only way to keep the “Russian Bear” at bay, is to have a big power have some leverage. That big power with leverage is the United States. E.U.’s has and oil, at least most it, comes from Russia. Europeans don’t have many resources left on their land, so they really depend on the eastern neighbor. Their politics are purely business. Although its citizens make fun of Americans and their politics, E.U. and U.S. need each other. E.U. needs the United States for pressure on Russia, and United States needs E.U. to have the power that it has. If E.U. become indifferent to U.S. politics and decides to be nutural, U.S. will stop being a big power. Nevertheless, the commercial markets and interdependency on financial and capital exchange will keep the two sides of the Atlantic bound for a long time.

Modern Political Drive

Today politicians are driven not by ideologies (Communism vs. Democracy during the Cold War), but by money. So, today’s political world should be analyzed just like a business is, but on a much bigger scale. Biggest of them all, actually. Almost every leader of any country makes decisions based on his potential financial gains, and utilizes tax payers’ money to do his dirty work. In essence using someone else’s funds to pay for business intelligence and research. President George W. Bush has stake in United Defense, Carlyle Group, and numerous other industries that relate directly to his administration’s agenda and goals. Vladimir Putin, just like most of Russian politicians have stake in Gazprom, Rosneft, and other companies that are ultimately in charge of natural resources. So, no matter what these or any other leaders say about “noble” motives for the actions (i.e. territorial integrity, anti-ethnic genocide, human rights, bringing down dictatorships, etc.), the underlying motives are always business. And if any good for the people is actually achieved, it is simply something done along the way to the ultimate goal of personal financial gain. Ideologies no matter govern political decisions. It is business, and just as was mentioned previously in this blog, resources are the sole reason for any major armed conflict. Morris 108 laid out the last major armed conflict motive very well,

“The BP run BTC pipeline is the only valuable item in Georgia, the only thing to fight over, and just 2 weeks ago, the promise of it being filled with Kazakh oil disappeared. And it disappeared into Russia’s hands. Within a week the pipeline was blown up, and the Georgian offensive started.” Full Article Here

Another example is Sudan. United States politicians, to keep citizens of the U.S. happy, have been criticizing the events in Darfur. However, no direct action has been taken. None of the world really has, and that is because Sudan doesn’t have enough resources in it’s land to have interest of big businesses. Today, ethics have nothing to do with big political decisions of any player of the Big Game.

China and the Rest of Asia

China has been knocking on Siberia’s door for decades. Starting with earliest provocations along Amur and Ussuri rivers, biggest of them all being on Damanskiy Island in 1969 with tens of Russian border troops killed in open armed conflict and hundreds of Chinese soldiers killed (thanks to introduction of the new “Grad” system, which was also used by Georgians in the South Ossetian War). China, although has a lot of sparsely settled land the West, has most of the populations living along the Pacific Coast, because a lot of its resources and jobs are in major cities, all of which are along the Eastern Coast. Once again, resources come into play. China, today, imports a lot of resources. It’s exports are slowing down (read China Today’s trade section, and you will notice this trend as well). It’s population is growing. Russia is the target of the People’s Republic because of the abundance of resources. The abundance of living space, resources, and business opportunity drives the Chinese to keep disputing over Russian territories and they actually send people into Russia to live, to drive out the Russian population, so some time in the future, they will have no problem having population support of historically Russian regions wanting to join PRC (smart, you have to admit).

The rest of Asia is simply living in their own world. They have enough problems of their own, and their leaders have no problem being corrupt and making cash. If anything, leaders of most Asian countries don’t want to be involved in the politics on the world scale, for it will bring too much attention to their corrupt governments.

The Conclusion

Smartest political players have already transitions into the 21st century mentality, that business runs everything. Expect events to heat up from here on in. The South Ossetia War in Georgia has started a new crack between the East and the West. Sides are going to be chosen, and the alliances made within the next few years will remain such for decades on. A new Cold War, more ferocious and dangerous has begun. This one, however, is not of ideologies between the West and the East, it is a war of business interests between resource rich, and resource needy.

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And Now It Gets Dirty – Georgia, Russia, U.S., Ukraine, and EU

Posted by closerview on August 14, 2008

Let the Games Begin

The battles have ceased. Reports from journalists working in the area are coming in of a demoralized Georgian Army, or at least what’s left of it. Yuri Kotenok, a journalist of www.Utro.ru stationed in Gori, said the “The Georgian army is demoralized, there’s simply no one left to fight for the them… all of last night Russian peacekeepers spent fishing out Georgian soldiers – in uniform and already changed into civilian clothes - [hiding] in canals and rivers.” (http://www.utro.ru/articles/2008/08/13/759360.shtml) This, however, doesn’t mean that the politicians’ job is done. They are just getting started. Now that the events are winding down, the political leaders on both sides of the conflict, have all the information they need to fuel their arguments to push through their own agendas. The political games are just beginning.

How Does Ukraine Fit Into All of This?

The Ukrainians are jumping at the opportunity to put in their word in the conflict, this way realzing their goals. The Black Sea Fleet is a thorn in their side, Just like South Ossetia and Abkhazia were throns, and possible still remain, in the Georgian side. It is important to note, that Yuschenko has been fighting a political battle with the Kremlin over the Black Sea for a long time. The Crimean Peninsula is the most strategic point in the Black Sea for Russia. Wars have been fought over it since Peter the Great. The Russian Black Sea Fleet has been in Crimea since 1783. It is hard not to understand why Russia wants to hold on to it. Ukraine knows that Russia will do nearly whatever it takes to keep it. It is a political trump card for Ukrainian government.

Yuschenko, just like Saakashvili has become president solely because of U.S. backing. Yuschenko’s wife is a U.S. citizen. Once again, hard to imagine Yuschenko and Saakashvili not being friends, considering they were mentored by the same people in Washington. Like Saakashvili, Yuschenko wants Ukraine to be pro-west. Not something most people in Ukraine want, but makes political life for Kiev a lot easier. Although Yuschenko may think that Washington is supporting him because they want freedom and liberty for the Ukrainian people, but the real reason is because if Ukraine is part of NATO then U.S. and E.U. can both set up military bases right on the borders of the Russian Federaion. Yuschenko will do everything possible to kick the Black Sea Fleet out of Crimea, because then the Kremlin will not have a stake in Ukrainian politics and be limiting its chances in entering NATO.

Why All This Mess?

Resources. All wars have been fought to either resources or religion. The only people fighting in the name of religion are Islamic Radicalists, and even then, their leaders recognize, that if there’s nothing to gain economically, then there is no reason in fighting. Religion becomes a propaganda tool to push through fuel the soldier’s morale, in turn pushing through economic interests of the leaders. In short, natural resources are the key factor here, no matter what leaders may say their press conferences.

Russia the biggest country in the world. More untapped natural resources than anywhere else. The current government in Russia knows this, just like the rest of the world. Everyone a piece of the cake. The current Russian government will never let Western capitalists colonize their vast expanses in Siberia and the Far East. However, the West can put pressure on Russia, economic and political, if it has military bases right on its borders and can flip all of its current allies. Russia’s biggest allies are U.S.’s worst enemies.  Iran, Belarus, Kazakhstan are basically the only ones left that are holding off massive Western influence. Kazakhstan is not a big political player. They have enough problems of their own. However, Iran is the last ally that needs to be defeated before the U.S. and E.U. can put enough pressure on Russia to let them come in and start “deflowering” the virgin forests and other untapped natural resources.

Russia is the big prize. Whoever can get to it will have more money and power than anyone. However, it’s also the biggest challenge. No leader in the world, after Ghenghis Khan, has been able to conquer Russia or turn it around to be allies of the West.

The Conclusion

It is only in U.S. and E.U. interests to have Georgia fight the Russians in an open conflict. Contrary to what the naive Yuschenko may be saying, having Ukraine part of NATO is still best for the West only. Now is not the time for it, however. The Black Sea Fleet needs to be taken care of first, before Ukrain will be free of Russian forces. The U.S. polticians are businessmen. They have stakes in companies that tap natural resources. The reason for these politicians to be in offices is because then they can expand their business empires internationaly into countries where it has not been possible before. If Georgia were to win this war, and Ukrainian is succesfull at getting the Black Sea Fleet out, then U.S. can put enough pressure on Kremlin to let the Western capitalists enter the vast Russian expanses rich with resources that everybusinessman only deams of.

Untapped Russian Resources Are What The West Is After

Untapped Russian Resources Are What The West Is After

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